
- Analysts are divided on Dogecoin’s future, with some forecasting a bullish breakout based on technical patterns, while others warn of further decline due to weakening support and fading investor interest.
- Despite a recent 3% rebound, on-chain metrics and declining volume suggest DOGE’s momentum remains uncertain.
As the crypto market shows signs of recovery, the memecoin, is once again at the centre of a heated debate. The reason behind this debate is its near-term orice trajectory which has seen analysts in a heated battle as the voice out opposing views.
Early May saw the memcoin climb above the $0.18 mark, this was followed by a reversal which saw the token’s price plummet below the key key $0.175 support level by May 3, reaching a local low of $0.165 on May 6. Despite a modest 3% recovery to around $0.1734, the sentiment surrounding DOGE remains mixed.
Bearish Outlook: Weakness Below Key Levels
Farid Saremi, a TradingView analyst, offers a bearish view of DOGE, based on macro-level resistance zones. According to his 3-hour DOGE/USDT chart analysis, Dogecoin has fallen beneath a key equilibrium zone between $0.18 and $0.21, which he considers a sign of medium-term weakness. Saremi argues that the breakdown below this zone suggests buyers are losing control and that DOGE is not poised for significant growth soon.
He highlights structural support levels at $0.10894 and $0.07478, rooted in prior price consolidation and historical clustering. Saremi believes these zones could be tested if the bearish momentum continues. “We may be delayed in reaching the target, but the targets will be touched,” he notes, indicating confidence in the downward trajectory.
Bullish Signs: Patterns Hint at a Breakout
In stark contrast, other analysts point to bullish technical formations. Trader Tardigrade identifies a recurring “falling wedge” pattern on the DOGE/Total chart. A similar setup last year led to a 300% surge from $0.10 to $0.46. He argues the current wedge, formed between February and May 2025, mirrors the previous one and suggests a breakout could push DOGE as high as $0.6936.
Tardigrade also notes a possible “Diamond Bottom” reversal pattern, with a short-term target of $0.28. Supporting this view, analyst Ali Martinez highlighted the $0.167 level as critical support, predicting a move toward $0.183. Efloud, another crypto influencer, echoed this sentiment, stating that $0.169 could act as a reliable floor on price pullbacks.
#Dogecoin $DOGE is testing key support around $0.167. Holding this level could spark a rebound toward $0.175 and potentially $0.183. pic.twitter.com/oQoFjrc6V4
— Ali (@ali_charts) May 6, 2025
On-Chain Metrics and Sentiment Remain Cautious
Despite bullish chart patterns, on-chain and sentiment indicators suggest caution. Blockchain data from Arkham reveals DOGE exchange inflows have outpaced outflows recently—potentially signaling increased sell pressure. Trading volume has also declined significantly, and Google Trends data show waning public interest compared to prior peaks.
Additionally, Dogecoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently sits near 50, signaling a neutral stance and little momentum in either direction. The indecisive RSI, along with fading retail enthusiasm, may undermine bullish hopes unless renewed demand enters the market.
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